Peter B. Chi 紀乃民
Peter B. Chi 紀乃民

Associate Teaching Professor

Halıcıoğlu Data Science Institute
University of California, San Diego

About Me

I recently joined the Halıcıoğlu Data Science Institute at UC San Diego as an Associate Teaching Professor in 2025.

[This page is currently still under construction].

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Interests
  • Statistical Phylogenetics
  • Statistics Education
  • Statistics of Casino Games
Education

  • PhD Biostatistics

    University of Washington

  • MHS Genetic Epidemiology

    Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

  • BS Cell/Molecular Biology

    University of Michigan

Featured Publications
Knowing When to Fold'em: A Monte Carlo Exploration of Card Shuffling and How Poker Players Can Gain an Advantage
Statistics of Casino Games

Knowing When to Fold'em: A Monte Carlo Exploration of Card Shuffling and How Poker Players Can Gain an Advantage

This work demonstrates that the card shuffling procedure commonly performed in casino poker rooms is insufficient for randomizing a deck of cards. We explore this in the context of Texas Hold’em, which has established itself as the most popular form of poker worldwide over the past few decades. We show the degree to which the resulting distribution of the orderings of all 52 cards in the deck after shuffling is not uniform. Rather, any given card may be substantially more (or less) likely to show up as an important card in the subsequent hand. Additionally, we find that the shuffling procedure does not sufficiently separate cards from their starting point; that is, cards are more likely to stay close together after shuffling than they should by chance. Thus, in this work, we demonstrate that Texas Hold’em players can gain an advantage over their opponents by recognizing these deficiencies in the shuffling procedure.

Web application teaching tools for statistics using R and shiny
Recent Publications
David W Merz, Peter B Chi (2022). Knowing When to Fold'em: A Monte Carlo Exploration of Card Shuffling and How Poker Players Can Gain an Advantage. UNLV Gaming Research & Review Journal.
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Peter Chi, Kevyn Dewees, Jennifer Scoville, Terrence Deak, Carlita Favero (2022). Prenatal alcohol exposure alters axon formation and Robo/Slit guidance cue expression in the internal capsule at E15. 5. bioRxiv.
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Tristan L Stark, Rebecca S Kaufman, Maria a Maltepes, Peter B Chi, David a Liberles (2021). Detecting Selection on Segregating Gene Duplicates in a Population. Journal of Molecular Evolution.
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Avery Sicher, Shannon Kiss, Paige Springmann, Karen Herrera, Abigail McElroy, Kelsey Blake, Emily Crocker, Christa Jacob, McKayla Lefkove, Myla Cramer, Others (2021). Moderate prenatal alcohol exposure increases total length of L1-expressing axons in E15. 5 mice. Neurotoxicology and teratology.
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Peter B Chi, Westin M Kosater, David a Liberles (2020). Detecting signatures of positive selection against a backdrop of compensatory processes. Molecular Biology and Evolution.
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Recent & Upcoming Talks
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